# Bitcoin Rallies 44% in Q3: Is a Stronger Rally Next?

> Bitcoin has risen about 44% with days left in the third quarter. CoinGlass data shows that the final quarter of the year has historically delivered stronger returns. According to a…

**Bitcoin has risen about 44% with days left in the third quarter.** CoinGlass data shows that the final quarter of the year has historically delivered stronger returns.</strong>

According to a chart shared by CoinGlass on **September 26**, [Bitcoin](https://koinbulteni.com/btc-bitcoin)’s rise during the July-September period reached about **44%**. This is the second-strongest third-quarter performance in the dataset, which dates back to 2013. The only stronger performance was the roughly **80% rise** in 2017; however, since the third quarter of 2026 is not yet complete, the ranking is based on the data available when the chart was shared.

### Why does the final quarter’s history stand out?

The chart shows that the **October-December period** outperforms the other quarters in terms of historical average and median returns. Across completed fourth quarters from 2013 to 2025, Bitcoin’s average return was about **77%**, while the median was **48%**. The median is the return in the middle when annual results are ranked from lowest to highest.

This data provides a historical basis for year-end expectations following a strong third quarter. However, the average does not mean that a similar rally occurs every year: extraordinary returns such as roughly **480%** in 2013 and **215%** in 2017 push the average higher.

Recent years also highlight this difference. Bitcoin rose about **55%** and **48%** in the final quarters of 2023 and 2024, respectively, but fell **15%** in 2022 and **23%** in 2025. Therefore, entering a historically strong period does not mean that the rally will necessarily continue in the final quarter of 2026.