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Critical Divergence in Bitcoin and Ethereum Ahead of Fed Decision: Major Market Breakout Expected

According to CryptoQuant’s latest report, short positions on the Bitcoin (BTC) side have failed to break support ahead of the Fed decision, while profit-taking rather than panic selling is prominent on the Ethereum (ETH) front.

The cryptocurrency market is virtually holding its breath ahead of the critical interest rate decision to be announced by the U.S. Federal Reserve (Fed). Current data shared by on-chain data platform CryptoQuant reveals that investors are pursuing different strategies for the two giant assets, Bitcoin and Ethereum, during this uncertain period. According to the report, the current market outlook points to an approaching wave of major volatility rather than a collapse.

Although selling pressure is felt on the Bitcoin side, short positions betting on a price drop have not yet managed to break down critical support levels. As seen in the shared charts, Bitcoin price is trying to hold within a certain range while sellers are observed to be losing momentum. On the other hand, the situation on the Ethereum (ETH) front is slightly different. Instead of panic selling, ETH investors are choosing to take the path of profit-taking following recent gains. This proves that there is a strategic retreat rather than a lack of confidence in the market.

What Do On-Chain Data Say Ahead of the Fed Decision?

This outlook formed before the Fed’s interest rate decision is interpreted by investors as the “calm before the storm.” The resilient stance on BTC and controlled selling on the ETH side indicate that sharp moves could occur in either direction depending on the messages from the Fed.

In particular, activity in the futures market is pushing volatility expectations to the highest level. While investors are expected to remain cautious until the Fed decision becomes clear, this divergence in on-chain data confirms that the market has not yet set a clear direction but is preparing for a major breakout. The data in the visuals indicate that trader dominance in both assets is in a delicate balance and that macroeconomic news could disrupt this equilibrium.

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